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In the US, I think we will be going into a period of self reflection - if Buddhism is going to take hold and grow, its not going to be propelled forward by new converts - its going to be built by people born into families that converted to Buddhism. The view of Buddhism in a new convert and a person born into it are universes apart. I do hope that Buddhism takes root in America. We need it. And not the new agey hokey Buddhism - we need the real thing. In the very least, we need a taste of the Buddhist pardigm to challenge American/Western assumptions about life and provoke further development - this secular/materialist outlook is taking the meaning out of life, and the fundamental protestant Christianity is too rigid to serve a fertile ground.
Sorry for being long winded and volunteering more than my fair share of opinions.
Generally, where I am in Berkeley, we have various sorts of Chan and Zen of Chinese, Japanese, and Korean origins. We also have quite a few practitioners with local Tibetan Buddhist centers and then we have the more ethnically oriented Buddhist churches because of the large extant Japanese descended population. This is pretty much the case up in Seattle where I am from. I can't recall ever meeting a Soka Gakkai member at any open Dharma events I've attended here or in Seattle, which may lead to some invisibility from my own point of view.
I don't know if either is right or better but the times they are a changing indeed.
There might be some truth to some of the things that Onishi has to say - but the fact is that he seems to *want* Buddhism to die out, and is simply trying to hurry the process along a little by peddling a very depressing assessment of the current situation.